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USD and CAD. Update…

 

I just finished on a meeting. Before it, I asked the Course’s students and the signal users to add another GOLD sell stop next to the hedged one @1353. My forecast about the fresh economy numbers, that these were better than the expected. I was right.

You can see that all the US numbers are better than the expected, and the extra good in the news that the Canadian numbers are worse.

That means that the USD will become stronger, the CAD will become weaker. This is good for the GOLD trades and the USDCADs too.

The USD jumped another 5 points in the last 10 minutes… I think it will reach 89 soon.


GOLD trade opened and USD Index almost hit 89.


LAST UPDATE – 2 hours before market closure

GOLD trade closed by Trailing Stop. USD Index hit 89, like I said 6 hours earlier.

Here is the chart.

Have a nice weekend.


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Trading on Thursday – 2018.02.15.

 

Trading today will be not too easy. Why? Not because of the news. Only because we don’t have too much actual clear options.

GMT +1

During the European session ECB member’s speeches can move the EUR or other currencies. I don’t really like speeches, because you count with them. You don’t know what will happen…

The US sessions two main news will be the US PPI and the Canadian Nonfarm Employment Change. So we will skip these currencies for the morning. I’m waiting for strong USD (positive numbers) and weaker CAD.


About the pairs.

I already wrote that NZDJPY is still a nice BUY option if it will go back again. I wrote to the Wednesday’s closed trade that I placed a BUY STOP.

You know what? I’m sure that GOLD will go down today. Why? The USD will be strong today and the GOLD jumped too much so it has to retrace. Will we trade with it this morning? NO. There are no signs in the technal analysis right now  😔

I don’t want to write the same to many other other pairs. If the market will move, and will show us trading options, I’ll share them. Right now, I don’t really see too much options. Maybe the speeches or the US session’s nubers will help us.

 


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Trading on Tuesday – 2018.02.13.

 

Today will be easy for our strategy, because we’ll have only 1 big news for today. The  bublication of theCPI of GB. I think that this number will be low, so the GBP will be weaker tomorrow.

About trading tomorrow, I can’t tell too much fresh. The JPY and USD pairs will probably go up, because both have to make reversals. The daily USD graph shows the reversal signals 2 days now. Candlestick patterns and indicators shows that it has to be weaker. The JPY shows the signs too.

EUR is a big question, but I’m Bullish on it. I will check EURUSD and EURJPY. Strong EUR with weak pears, can make fast profit. If my analysis will be good and the things what I’m waiting for, happens today, we’ll earn nice profit.


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Updates to my Friday trade – GOLD

I had a little business trade this week, so I didn’t post too much, but yesterday I shared my GOLD trading idea. This is mostly based on the stronger USD’s possible backup.

When we’re trading with GOLD, we have to check the news about GOLD itself, not only the USD’s movement. Most traders forget it, and think about it only as a currency pair what don’t have another leg. But this is the XAU in the XAUUSD.

The USD became stronger and stronger during the last some trading days, so it had to be a reversal and many things showed that this will happen soon. I predicted it to Friday. I posted about the GOLD trade idea when the price was ~1315. Later it went lower and finally closed near this price.

Will this GOLD trade be good on Monday. I have to say yes. The GOLD price will jump back to the 1330 area soon. The fundamental analisis also shows that the investors will push back the prices to the higher areas.

On Friday we had only one more trade, what also placed to earn with a wave in the USD prices. I tought that we’ll have to choose JPY as a pair. It worked and we made more than 75 pips with this trade.


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The trade of Friday

Sorry, but I didn’t really have to post to the blog this week, I only had time to send signals and contact with the Course’s students.

We placed some real good trades  this week, but here is one for today.

GOLD BUY @ 1315 (you can buy anywhere below 1320)

TP:1330

SL:1307

Use higher Trailing Stop. It will be a good trade for today. I think this trade will make nice profit to us during the US session.


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Trading on Thursday – 2018.02.08.

I just arrived back from my business trip from the UK. I hope today, we’ll able place some trades during the US Session.

First talk about USD. When it lost its strengh, I wrote about, what is my expectation about it. I said, it will go down between 87-88 and it will go back to the 92-94 area.

Now its above 90 points and I’m sure it will go higher soon.

Today is mostly about GBP. The BoE Interest Rate Decision and the Inflation Letter are the main important thing we’re waiting for today.  I don’t think that any of the US or Canadian news will generate too big waves, so I hope we’ll see some trading options later.

The Forex Trading Strategy Course members can check the GBP too for short term trades. I think we’ll have many options after the news to scalp some profit.


AUDNZD will go down a little in the next some hours and than it will go higher to the 1.10000 area.

AUDUSD was the other pair we talked about this morning with the Course’s students. We made some pips with our BUY trades, before the USD became stronger again. Now we have to wait and check the H4 chart to see a confirmaiton of the log term BUY trade. We also have to wait for the US Session to start and see how the market will move. I don’t think that we’ll see good trading signals in the first some hours.

USDCAD is also a possible trading opportunity for today. We’ll see that how the news will change the CAD and USD price today.

The EURJPY can be my favorite today. If the USD goes down, the EUR will become stronger. My analysis shows a possible reversal of 30-100 pips movement.

Come back some hours later and check the fresh trades!


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Trading on Tuesday – 2018.02.06.

Today we have a real good EURJPY trade and we have 2 pending AUD trades (one of them with positive SL) and a fresh NZDUSD.

GMT +1

As I wrote earlier there will be holiday in New-Zealand tomorrow, so we don’t really have to worry about it.

The first important thing we have to care about is the Interest Rate Decision of the Reserve Bank of Australia.  We have 2 bending AUD trades and  both BUYs. The Interest Rate will probably be the same but the Rate Statement probably will generate a bigger positive or negative movement. We hope it will be positiv, if not, we’ll close both pending trades will small profit.

The European session wil be smooth, but after it the US Session can be more active. We’re waiting positive Trade Balance and Job Openings. The Canadian data forecasts also seems positive, so if these will be right both will be stronger.


Let’s talk about  the trading. I think we’ll start the morning with EUR and GBP pairs. Some of them are near to signal confirmation. Without too much possible news during the EU session, EUR and GBP trades can generate easy profit to us.

We’ll only trade with USD or CAD before the news, if I’ll see the possibility of the fast profit.

I don’t think that we have to talk too much about the actual trades, because the Asian session can ruin the actual possile trading opportunities.


Come back tomorrow, check the news, and the fresh trades!

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Why I picked AUD this morning…

This morning I started to trade with two AUD pairs. Here is the H1 chart of the Australian Dollar Index.

Last week the AUD’s price felt a lot. If you checked my posts day by day, you know why. The answer is here:

You can see the lot of RED numbers. The CPI – Consumer Price Index – is really important, so if it’s negative it cause a nice falling.

Friday was the turning point in my sight. PPI is also an important data for the traders. (This shows the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers and this is the  leading indicator of consumer price inflation.) So the positive PPI helped to stop the falling of the AUD and as the candlestic patterns (three outside up), and some indicators shows right now, it also helps to the AUD to become stronger.

We can’t be sure that how strong this reversal will be, because the RBA’s Interest Rate decision is near, so the traders are waiting for it to decide about the longer term trading directions, but today, with good pairs, I’m sure we can male profit.

I picked NZD and CAD as pairs next to AUD. I searched for currencies, which supposed to be weaker today. NZD and CAD shows negative direction in technicals.

Let’s see the results. I hope I’ll be right. 😜🤑